美国权威杂志《财富》(《Fortune》)于1995年一度预言,回归将令香港死亡。但回归十年后,最新出版的《时代》周刊,终在十三年后为此言论来了个迟来的大平反,不仅承认其姊妹杂志《财富》当年报道错误,更直认香港比从前更有活力。 7 K! _$ Q# S2 E8 D" T3 ]7 l ! x* A2 n2 t& ]4 l @* { ' ^: [/ }: b8 |7 ^8 q( q: D: o! G# ?* N+ T. z: C
9 V( O' \; d" A9 Q5 {: Z/ r% E' U 最新出版的《时代》周刊,以25页的篇幅探讨回归十年香港的变化,并以“阳光灿烂中见阴霾(Sunshine with Clouds)”为点题。对于《财富》杂志当年惊世的《香港之死》报道,《时代》坦诚认错,承认姊妹杂志完全是“错误地”及“差劣地”作出推测。《时代》解释香港过去十年经历金融风暴、禽流感、SARS、市民为基本法廿三条上街示威等……当世人以为香港贵为福地的气数已尽,香港却一一熬过来。$ l, k" S" N! a% z5 E
! ~! I1 I$ K+ z 离回归十周年尚余三个星期,《时代》指出香港近期的股市屡创新高,物业格价亦稳步上扬,正值阳光灿烂时,不过晴空之中却有阴霾:香港前景仍受许多不明朗因素影响。1 {% g6 {" c, F e: p" T7 K0 c3 ]
. F( h m! Q4 P5 ^) x/ k" h * h0 x& Q$ I: i! Z6 o. u8 J" X- k$ PJuly 1, 1997: After 156 years of British rule, China resumes sovereignty over Hong Kong. # a4 Q6 _8 L |0 ] 1 ]( _- |* `' i& d1 ~7 T7 `" Z. w Feb. 19, 2002: Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa, appointed by Beijing in 1997 to serve as Hong Kong's first post-colonial leader, is reelected.( H3 T c/ y: O( M# @# i
+ P" ~- }3 `( _. i" z& ?! C ! X% I7 v) E' }' J- W% ?4 B% r7 B6 I" z3 i! k+ O March 10, 2005: After weeks of rumors, Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa abruptly resigns, citing his declining health. / N, I' P" v- m: J* ^. `* q1 l' t, R5 u! l% F8 X' y# n$ V! H s ~3 \; v/ Y7 [% T The Expat Exodus ) }. ~3 ?+ _+ R! W& o) o5 L
On July 1, 1997, as Hong Kong waved goodbye to its colonial rulers on board the HMS Britannia, pessimists predicted the city's expatriate professionals would follow. ; j' X$ }& S( B8 J4 a
- h8 i" Q4 q! x8 x9 z6 D( j2 x6 n; i
) |" Q* z5 z8 D6 L 4 K. b- P: O" O3 d% v) nEmigration % D# y/ k; A! g% nJittery about political crackdowns and economic slowdown, thousands of Hong Kong residents left town in the years before the handover. " v6 c% T1 h' U, E$ H4 x8 k7 w
8 B/ s# k/ q7 J# D
4 V+ P; @& @( }4 N' k" N( h: A. a 《时代》分析,香港人仍在身份认同及定位上感到迷失。港人对祖国又敬又怕,进而希望争取民主独立,这种心态却令政策陷于胶着状态。保守派与民主派的对立,造成政治麻痹:上至经济下至污染的议题,双方都不愿妥协。 1 s% r- }- P4 L4 x + a( ^: ]& a/ v& u$ }
《时代》称,港人在争取民主方面的想法过于“实际”。有权投票选行政长官的八百名选委,大部分来自商界,他们普遍认为普选特首会引入平民领导人、令香港变成福利社会;另一方面又怕惹怒中央,影响自身利益。 ! A8 t3 l X. k: q* J r3 e ; t$ s9 n! X' X1 D0 s& P: w9 @( E作者: 日月光 时间: 2007-6-9 08:41
" R$ X* @9 L1 r, B: g* G$ [ The People's Liberation Army : o& d3 G4 n- `6 k& w+ B* J
A 1995 Fortune magazine article famously predicted the "Death of Hong Kong" following the handover, prophesying that PLA soldiers would be a visible, ominous presence on Hong Kong's streets. ' O' q1 L7 ~' T6 Y# K2 B
3 n" t9 w/ t4 Q$ f/ m+ V' _: X
$ }! ]' W) O0 K* k, E7 A " G! T! b& ~# F2 `( [Victoria Park. Queen's Pier. Stanley. While many symbols of British rule vanished overnight after the handover — teams of workmen removed the royal seal from post offices, police stations and institutions like the Royal Hong Kong Jockey Club — Hong Kong's colonial place names endure. - e0 l% O! v4 O% B" Y- Z
3 ` @ t( J: A. a2 Q j+ @4 H $ r! f+ M9 b5 G r2 q . Z1 A0 Y# k! O6 `' W1 lMilton Friedman, the late Nobel Prize-winning economist, predicted that within two years of the handover China would introduce capital controls and replace the territory's currency. Wrong. . L9 r, f2 f. J1 ]( |9 F2 [9 L0 ]! ~: [2 R& y
# ^% s; H* ]/ y& v/ d4 V ' m6 C+ ^7 |# D' O2 L8 \0 @With its black robes and horsehair wigs, Hong Kong's court system is an obvious inheritance from Britain. Little has changed since the handover. - S, b) P7 a/ [9 p6 g+ q' v; n/ f6 n9 d3 d" ^ & @9 C" q1 ~5 e; u J! ]( xHong Kong made itself fabulously wealthy by acting as the lone conduit between China and the world, funneling goods and investment in both directions. 2 @; W, e# q# ?0 D8 O8 d, u
) F, N5 \/ b, C( V7 y& X% ^( { 1 C: u' Q N. x! v ) V- A _4 j+ H7 G; L, {Contrary to dire predictions, Hong Kong hasn't yet lost its economic edge to cheaper cities on the mainland or to cleaner, more orderly Singapore.