美国权威杂志《财富》（《Fortune》）于1995年一度预言，回归将令香港死亡。但回归十年后，最新出版的《时代》周刊，终在十三年后为此言论来了个迟来的大平反，不仅承认其姊妹杂志《财富》当年报道错误，更直认香港比从前更有活力。 3 @: C% N3 G7 T: `: p. g ! @6 W, f2 y1 u- V8 [+ d: } 2 Y$ i2 ]) _/ d9 G( l C$ V9 L
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最新出版的《时代》周刊，以25页的篇幅探讨回归十年香港的变化，并以“阳光灿烂中见阴霾（Sunshine with Clouds）”为点题。对于《财富》杂志当年惊世的《香港之死》报道，《时代》坦诚认错，承认姊妹杂志完全是“错误地”及“差劣地”作出推测。《时代》解释香港过去十年经历金融风暴、禽流感、SARS、市民为基本法廿三条上街示威等……当世人以为香港贵为福地的气数已尽，香港却一一熬过来。 0 D8 @8 U. q3 D9 P v* _) N K" ?9 C6 I$ L' j' V
离回归十周年尚余三个星期，《时代》指出香港近期的股市屡创新高，物业格价亦稳步上扬，正值阳光灿烂时，不过晴空之中却有阴霾：香港前景仍受许多不明朗因素影响。 9 Q4 i& {! m. g j & P3 m0 D! J/ }4 t: l( p7 H 9 y. R' a7 N: [+ k bJuly 1, 1997: After 156 years of British rule, China resumes sovereignty over Hong Kong., J, o0 B! j9 a" W' v2 A
( {; D5 g6 C, c6 ^ ~+ |, y5 `7 S Feb. 19, 2002: Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa, appointed by Beijing in 1997 to serve as Hong Kong's first post-colonial leader, is reelected. 1 _$ i( A$ X- u/ C8 f6 y* ~ 0 T/ Z' K+ K' t! S% Y" W% ]" I8 G3 i3 s* T4 q 0 z, E* k+ D3 F7 W2 _March 10, 2005: After weeks of rumors, Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa abruptly resigns, citing his declining health. % o; A0 | O" y" F% ]: ~# p 2 [2 b2 \' B0 k( j: n. C* | 7 U$ E& T+ f y# \5 u9 DThe Expat Exodus ! q5 k% g8 e2 s; q7 Y. [5 {
On July 1, 1997, as Hong Kong waved goodbye to its colonial rulers on board the HMS Britannia, pessimists predicted the city's expatriate professionals would follow. 8 p- }8 H* v# _1 D8 o7 Z
8 B& {1 m8 c. u7 w" H - Q2 O/ K$ ?9 U l* ?/ D ( V P1 ^0 s; T: Q* T Emigration $ T) j0 ~/ s4 E7 s% w. n3 v( z `
Jittery about political crackdowns and economic slowdown, thousands of Hong Kong residents left town in the years before the handover. 3 @) Y V5 W) I' v0 G$ w* R
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《时代》分析，香港人仍在身份认同及定位上感到迷失。港人对祖国又敬又怕，进而希望争取民主独立，这种心态却令政策陷于胶着状态。保守派与民主派的对立，造成政治麻痹：上至经济下至污染的议题，双方都不愿妥协。 5 F5 L2 o0 p; W " `" E2 W; n$ [0 p% M' k
《时代》称，港人在争取民主方面的想法过于“实际”。有权投票选行政长官的八百名选委，大部分来自商界，他们普遍认为普选特首会引入平民领导人、令香港变成福利社会；另一方面又怕惹怒中央，影响自身利益。) @) d B! r' ]
( l! t5 M& _% G2 E6 x* u' _' c 作者: 日月光 时间: 2007-6-9 08:41
0 l9 f! H# x( s. k; x The People's Liberation Army 7 E8 d; Z6 F: X/ [' B5 Z
A 1995 Fortune magazine article famously predicted the "Death of Hong Kong" following the handover, prophesying that PLA soldiers would be a visible, ominous presence on Hong Kong's streets. 5 l5 U1 |9 ` H. j% o. o/ N3 V! l
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; W8 f k) g4 J$ Z 9 }1 F: m8 E. D' t- \" uVictoria Park. Queen's Pier. Stanley. While many symbols of British rule vanished overnight after the handover — teams of workmen removed the royal seal from post offices, police stations and institutions like the Royal Hong Kong Jockey Club — Hong Kong's colonial place names endure. 1 ?7 k; }: i! ?# ~! s# P
- V+ f+ s. c4 X5 n+ z ?' a' j- o : @) Z7 A; B# z o& p4 i - R! o( G, }: X: r! aMilton Friedman, the late Nobel Prize-winning economist, predicted that within two years of the handover China would introduce capital controls and replace the territory's currency. Wrong. 0 a! ]& z V% R. ^- n6 c 9 ^$ v! O* z6 l+ [; D3 \, z1 s* W1 A0 y7 ?, |5 e , b& F- H: z! o: { F3 L
With its black robes and horsehair wigs, Hong Kong's court system is an obvious inheritance from Britain. Little has changed since the handover.2 f: v, d* N/ x7 z. x# {, A
) M- V; ?3 _* l' {& Q, w1 ^ % G; b! P. Y, x- K" G; l3 [Hong Kong made itself fabulously wealthy by acting as the lone conduit between China and the world, funneling goods and investment in both directions. # I6 R6 M7 c7 ^3 W" h# b X i( d1 G$ ?& ~& w7 Q
. M* u( P. i4 _! G" V 9 C. }, O+ c" z" t8 EContrary to dire predictions, Hong Kong hasn't yet lost its economic edge to cheaper cities on the mainland or to cleaner, more orderly Singapore.
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