美国权威杂志《财富》（《Fortune》）于1995年一度预言，回归将令香港死亡。但回归十年后，最新出版的《时代》周刊，终在十三年后为此言论来了个迟来的大平反，不仅承认其姊妹杂志《财富》当年报道错误，更直认香港比从前更有活力。 R* Z% a/ Q% p2 P" i 1 Q! e2 I% h5 B7 s. `' Z3 E& \6 N2 m: g% j1 y
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最新出版的《时代》周刊，以25页的篇幅探讨回归十年香港的变化，并以“阳光灿烂中见阴霾（Sunshine with Clouds）”为点题。对于《财富》杂志当年惊世的《香港之死》报道，《时代》坦诚认错，承认姊妹杂志完全是“错误地”及“差劣地”作出推测。《时代》解释香港过去十年经历金融风暴、禽流感、SARS、市民为基本法廿三条上街示威等……当世人以为香港贵为福地的气数已尽，香港却一一熬过来。' P6 i: [8 n/ g- Z% a
6 N, Z* ?2 c/ s- l& H6 m 离回归十周年尚余三个星期，《时代》指出香港近期的股市屡创新高，物业格价亦稳步上扬，正值阳光灿烂时，不过晴空之中却有阴霾：香港前景仍受许多不明朗因素影响。 3 f7 n) }9 C4 v7 m+ X. A6 s4 | 6 h/ [* }% V7 P' H( M* F8 }* w& p5 z' D July 1, 1997: After 156 years of British rule, China resumes sovereignty over Hong Kong. , Q' x3 ]. Y5 s7 Q' C; c7 J Y1 x1 O: T9 ?, F1 D 9 p# O' K9 T+ t# N7 A% FFeb. 19, 2002: Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa, appointed by Beijing in 1997 to serve as Hong Kong's first post-colonial leader, is reelected.3 y0 Y& B! Q: e$ r6 ~4 [
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& ~) c' v/ B; Z3 p) D+ A1 _! | & e+ S3 H/ ^ g- A6 W: a; pMarch 10, 2005: After weeks of rumors, Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa abruptly resigns, citing his declining health. # L4 |3 g& F% z7 a% }$ g2 g
6 {3 U5 l, b3 [ s , b2 O% ~! |. K/ U; _! n The Expat Exodus ' {5 _0 A7 J1 c5 a) o. I4 m
On July 1, 1997, as Hong Kong waved goodbye to its colonial rulers on board the HMS Britannia, pessimists predicted the city's expatriate professionals would follow. + U! W. H9 \% a$ Z2 ]+ l. N1 G2 s5 L
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Jittery about political crackdowns and economic slowdown, thousands of Hong Kong residents left town in the years before the handover. 1 D5 B; X8 V+ }( v+ Y
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《时代》分析，香港人仍在身份认同及定位上感到迷失。港人对祖国又敬又怕，进而希望争取民主独立，这种心态却令政策陷于胶着状态。保守派与民主派的对立，造成政治麻痹：上至经济下至污染的议题，双方都不愿妥协。0 F; W& \& o% ^+ a1 C
$ q) O: F9 |8 r 《时代》称，港人在争取民主方面的想法过于“实际”。有权投票选行政长官的八百名选委，大部分来自商界，他们普遍认为普选特首会引入平民领导人、令香港变成福利社会；另一方面又怕惹怒中央，影响自身利益。( Q9 u, O6 q( @4 \, A+ j2 B
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; h5 s7 ]; B; L- v' XThe People's Liberation Army 3 c1 r3 e8 @. C. NA 1995 Fortune magazine article famously predicted the "Death of Hong Kong" following the handover, prophesying that PLA soldiers would be a visible, ominous presence on Hong Kong's streets. 8 X% F% a( X4 M( x/ c/ P% B) d8 F7 G+ d4 U
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Victoria Park. Queen's Pier. Stanley. While many symbols of British rule vanished overnight after the handover — teams of workmen removed the royal seal from post offices, police stations and institutions like the Royal Hong Kong Jockey Club — Hong Kong's colonial place names endure. $ [4 n" D& ?# L7 x4 P+ u4 h2 ~9 C2 x! B ]$ I/ \ T: U+ ]
5 I3 @" V! k [" s0 p# d' k & }& ~$ | ?) d9 U5 tMilton Friedman, the late Nobel Prize-winning economist, predicted that within two years of the handover China would introduce capital controls and replace the territory's currency. Wrong. , Z1 B& p0 {/ d 6 s! @7 p7 v' V" Q' ~( a4 {5 R& V; t7 K5 P4 a # ]+ `) ^; f$ `$ u6 CWith its black robes and horsehair wigs, Hong Kong's court system is an obvious inheritance from Britain. Little has changed since the handover.- e l- i. {7 O; E: k! J) N- T
6 V9 D8 d; O9 | s* G ( H6 M$ N) U6 \Hong Kong made itself fabulously wealthy by acting as the lone conduit between China and the world, funneling goods and investment in both directions. 4 l5 |" q+ e9 t9 l 0 A) n! H2 ^3 I2 [ U6 I6 L$ T6 i t: N 1 \! Z( s+ [8 R+ ]9 F3 y+ G/ S* HContrary to dire predictions, Hong Kong hasn't yet lost its economic edge to cheaper cities on the mainland or to cleaner, more orderly Singapore.
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