美国权威杂志《财富》(《Fortune》)于1995年一度预言,回归将令香港死亡。但回归十年后,最新出版的《时代》周刊,终在十三年后为此言论来了个迟来的大平反,不仅承认其姊妹杂志《财富》当年报道错误,更直认香港比从前更有活力。 6 f3 D4 t2 w: p. W' K0 U& m 6 \5 ^0 p/ l8 `4 _; v0 v/ V, K3 s" d
2 _* y( Z3 z" Y/ }9 `( l* s" K4 I# A/ ]) o% x( R6 c
最新出版的《时代》周刊,以25页的篇幅探讨回归十年香港的变化,并以“阳光灿烂中见阴霾(Sunshine with Clouds)”为点题。对于《财富》杂志当年惊世的《香港之死》报道,《时代》坦诚认错,承认姊妹杂志完全是“错误地”及“差劣地”作出推测。《时代》解释香港过去十年经历金融风暴、禽流感、SARS、市民为基本法廿三条上街示威等……当世人以为香港贵为福地的气数已尽,香港却一一熬过来。$ \1 X' V6 ^0 q9 \1 w
* M5 S# h1 r1 d
离回归十周年尚余三个星期,《时代》指出香港近期的股市屡创新高,物业格价亦稳步上扬,正值阳光灿烂时,不过晴空之中却有阴霾:香港前景仍受许多不明朗因素影响。 8 g, w0 k) |) S) k) L0 j; s 2 l0 F, f$ q* L# T D$ G; \6 W / q1 r+ ]4 p8 `* [" C% uJuly 1, 1997: After 156 years of British rule, China resumes sovereignty over Hong Kong. * l) z. H' ~( P: f& }0 Q& t5 N* {! d5 Q) e) w1 `2 A0 W ; b! L& _3 A" W/ y Feb. 19, 2002: Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa, appointed by Beijing in 1997 to serve as Hong Kong's first post-colonial leader, is reelected. \7 Q9 G- D& N
/ P+ k& Y1 X' j1 J) b & {! Q" Q. i U8 J, R7 A+ M8 a8 j2 Q* K9 e+ L March 10, 2005: After weeks of rumors, Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa abruptly resigns, citing his declining health. + { }6 c# \3 c0 J7 f. D) T0 k7 n! ^+ |8 ?* l6 o; F# m 9 [) M4 i$ L% o6 a The Expat Exodus & J, j+ V4 M& W) b% [. M2 i3 S
On July 1, 1997, as Hong Kong waved goodbye to its colonial rulers on board the HMS Britannia, pessimists predicted the city's expatriate professionals would follow. 5 t' x4 r% ?/ S) Y% y0 {# }* c
1 u9 E9 Y7 E& C$ B
+ h( O1 d4 v+ K" `( a + e* G. m9 N) lEmigration 8 @* N: R, A) b8 T2 F- A
Jittery about political crackdowns and economic slowdown, thousands of Hong Kong residents left town in the years before the handover. * j- f1 j `8 h( x0 @
# `# R6 g- L6 E5 s3 i9 y8 _
1 P- m1 J6 r. A 《时代》分析,香港人仍在身份认同及定位上感到迷失。港人对祖国又敬又怕,进而希望争取民主独立,这种心态却令政策陷于胶着状态。保守派与民主派的对立,造成政治麻痹:上至经济下至污染的议题,双方都不愿妥协。 : f9 \: P2 M: \6 i3 _; l 8 k- w7 b- G( i- r 《时代》称,港人在争取民主方面的想法过于“实际”。有权投票选行政长官的八百名选委,大部分来自商界,他们普遍认为普选特首会引入平民领导人、令香港变成福利社会;另一方面又怕惹怒中央,影响自身利益。) [+ S. A3 R- c4 X7 I. Q4 X6 a* W
# Q, R1 b) L2 \$ v 作者: 日月光 时间: 2007-6-9 08:41
% }4 `( V8 @! ?8 D- V' a The People's Liberation Army 1 f# u: |% W/ l$ `4 m5 w6 p$ }A 1995 Fortune magazine article famously predicted the "Death of Hong Kong" following the handover, prophesying that PLA soldiers would be a visible, ominous presence on Hong Kong's streets. 0 g. K+ V8 b* A& P( K
" o2 q6 X" ~% T) S( s( M% t 9 w& i0 p* P* H) E( i/ P& |6 N: I 3 o! P& P% U' ZVictoria Park. Queen's Pier. Stanley. While many symbols of British rule vanished overnight after the handover — teams of workmen removed the royal seal from post offices, police stations and institutions like the Royal Hong Kong Jockey Club — Hong Kong's colonial place names endure. % O( u1 z9 I- I! {6 j3 P3 K9 E / t7 K5 K* F4 e! x6 q$ ^+ t4 S( [4 [8 F+ B3 L8 Q$ G v# o( j3 o/ |) d2 c
Milton Friedman, the late Nobel Prize-winning economist, predicted that within two years of the handover China would introduce capital controls and replace the territory's currency. Wrong. / \+ Z) T; W4 R( w8 g% F* L1 c7 Z0 y6 f j" F3 r
1 K) l; T1 }7 y& g* W+ l9 o% A % U, K. ^" j- m$ A4 D; U
With its black robes and horsehair wigs, Hong Kong's court system is an obvious inheritance from Britain. Little has changed since the handover. ) c: q2 u$ O$ [: T5 Y! P6 [ 0 Z9 z* C0 W+ l/ I* _# Q $ V# X: |1 x9 HHong Kong made itself fabulously wealthy by acting as the lone conduit between China and the world, funneling goods and investment in both directions. & m; i+ o! S, f/ D
, ]* B( W8 _, e& Z) w) R* R8 D3 a. O5 ^ g2 O# _- @( B 3 C% ~/ c% V1 @- |( G, J; O" ?Contrary to dire predictions, Hong Kong hasn't yet lost its economic edge to cheaper cities on the mainland or to cleaner, more orderly Singapore.