美国权威杂志《财富》（《Fortune》）于1995年一度预言，回归将令香港死亡。但回归十年后，最新出版的《时代》周刊，终在十三年后为此言论来了个迟来的大平反，不仅承认其姊妹杂志《财富》当年报道错误，更直认香港比从前更有活力。 / |# h' m# w! k5 P+ X( g7 n ' S8 A! c! Y/ [2 O / b+ m: F1 q# y' s; Z7 q1 @% V
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最新出版的《时代》周刊，以25页的篇幅探讨回归十年香港的变化，并以“阳光灿烂中见阴霾（Sunshine with Clouds）”为点题。对于《财富》杂志当年惊世的《香港之死》报道，《时代》坦诚认错，承认姊妹杂志完全是“错误地”及“差劣地”作出推测。《时代》解释香港过去十年经历金融风暴、禽流感、SARS、市民为基本法廿三条上街示威等……当世人以为香港贵为福地的气数已尽，香港却一一熬过来。 9 O6 u2 |; L% e! U* I; R4 t+ G 1 y9 B o; Q. P7 g 离回归十周年尚余三个星期，《时代》指出香港近期的股市屡创新高，物业格价亦稳步上扬，正值阳光灿烂时，不过晴空之中却有阴霾：香港前景仍受许多不明朗因素影响。 1 \* M/ {. i& m) v $ W: F' y9 r" f0 y7 a/ I8 K9 R, r% p& U3 l( p- s July 1, 1997: After 156 years of British rule, China resumes sovereignty over Hong Kong. 3 p9 k' L4 ^6 Z, p9 u& h5 L6 b$ a2 q 5 f2 p4 ~8 i1 Q; V/ f Feb. 19, 2002: Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa, appointed by Beijing in 1997 to serve as Hong Kong's first post-colonial leader, is reelected. ! _" t; A! R, H) r. Q* Q( B( y* r D3 m
) Y6 J2 Z3 e( }8 @1 W% H X. m2 z4 A* f March 10, 2005: After weeks of rumors, Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa abruptly resigns, citing his declining health. 6 x5 V: e2 Y2 i5 J/ o8 W) v
! X) ?/ e/ w' G4 B8 I : Y6 M6 ?3 H5 @ t6 H5 P/ J, oThe Expat Exodus f: D' z: u9 U- p9 |( bOn July 1, 1997, as Hong Kong waved goodbye to its colonial rulers on board the HMS Britannia, pessimists predicted the city's expatriate professionals would follow. 7 h; C% S$ Y" V3 U 2 B- I5 O' G6 N9 @& R2 T
7 u7 W7 \( P y- q4 m 7 i. v O6 q1 L [& U1 ?8 n2 @$ TEmigration 4 g7 J' F* x. ~" A0 x
Jittery about political crackdowns and economic slowdown, thousands of Hong Kong residents left town in the years before the handover. ) F- r% s% N" Y7 f* q8 G/ T; _) M3 W 6 f6 R( C( `; ]. E* a% [0 m% c
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《时代》分析，香港人仍在身份认同及定位上感到迷失。港人对祖国又敬又怕，进而希望争取民主独立，这种心态却令政策陷于胶着状态。保守派与民主派的对立，造成政治麻痹：上至经济下至污染的议题，双方都不愿妥协。& e: U- K' W) @# L& B1 Z1 n
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《时代》称，港人在争取民主方面的想法过于“实际”。有权投票选行政长官的八百名选委，大部分来自商界，他们普遍认为普选特首会引入平民领导人、令香港变成福利社会；另一方面又怕惹怒中央，影响自身利益。7 Z; {7 z, Q( ^# u+ S) `; w9 M+ K+ T
! I8 l/ {, v. M A" z0 T8 F 作者: 日月光 时间: 2007-6-9 08:41
- I4 t9 b9 G7 V The People's Liberation Army # l( I9 G* X: U2 a& O1 r5 f
A 1995 Fortune magazine article famously predicted the "Death of Hong Kong" following the handover, prophesying that PLA soldiers would be a visible, ominous presence on Hong Kong's streets. / F* h9 P/ |1 N. F9 O+ `% `1 g; ?+ X A# Q: H% q$ _5 Q+ \
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Victoria Park. Queen's Pier. Stanley. While many symbols of British rule vanished overnight after the handover — teams of workmen removed the royal seal from post offices, police stations and institutions like the Royal Hong Kong Jockey Club — Hong Kong's colonial place names endure. 3 Y9 o5 ^' B- g$ i! u% l3 A; N2 g9 f, c
* q% j' _" e2 ]/ x " K) p Y, m; ?% T2 GMilton Friedman, the late Nobel Prize-winning economist, predicted that within two years of the handover China would introduce capital controls and replace the territory's currency. Wrong. ; i6 ~" Z: f5 t% _! b0 g # E- f! t0 s0 X# f I / a' {$ E$ i! c P( n) L) k & c$ f' q* m" b0 rWith its black robes and horsehair wigs, Hong Kong's court system is an obvious inheritance from Britain. Little has changed since the handover. 8 H: R8 t) O, j" ^/ L * @, h9 t0 k! T# U1 X/ O4 r0 ~ + @. M% O# W" w$ tHong Kong made itself fabulously wealthy by acting as the lone conduit between China and the world, funneling goods and investment in both directions. 6 ?# v* n8 r2 a+ g6 y' p! k+ t/ y7 h( Q
5 g* t+ H N' i" S$ z ; w6 _3 n5 S3 iContrary to dire predictions, Hong Kong hasn't yet lost its economic edge to cheaper cities on the mainland or to cleaner, more orderly Singapore.
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